Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional3 - 1Huancayo
Ocampos (62'), Martinez (69'), Fleitas (90+8')
Javier Baez (37'), Roman (57'), Cabrera (58'), Caballero (90+1'), Santacruz (90+3'), Fleitas (90+9')
Javier Baez (37'), Roman (57'), Cabrera (58'), Caballero (90+1'), Santacruz (90+3'), Fleitas (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millan (39')
Colombo (52'), Ross (57'), Salcedo (86')
Colombo (52'), Ross (57'), Salcedo (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Nacional and Sport Huancayo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Sport Huancayo win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
45.98% ( -0.42) | 27.74% ( -0.16) | 26.27% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 45.09% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
