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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 16, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
 

12 de Octubre
0 - 0
Nacional


Salinas (42'), Caceres (55')
FT

Brahian Gustavo Ayala Vera (35'), Villagra (75')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between 12 de Octubre and Club Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a 12 de Octubre win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
12 de OctubreDrawClub Nacional
20.23%23.96%55.81%
Both teams to score 49.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66%51.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83%73.17%
12 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45%76.55%
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7%49.3%
Score Analysis
    12 de Octubre 20.23%
    Club Nacional 55.8%
    Draw 23.96%
12 de OctubreDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-1 @ 5.23%
2-0 @ 3.08%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.23%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 7.28%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 12.38%
0-2 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 5.97%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-4 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 2.33%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.8%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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