Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a 12 de Octubre win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
