We said: Colo-Colo 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
As Colo-Colo have not played for three weeks, as their Copa Chile contest against Union La Calera was postponed due to heavy rain, they may fail to find the cohesion required to defeat Copa Libertadores debutants Deportivo Pereira, who could be bound for the last 16.
If Monagas lose in Argentina, though, a draw would then secure third place for the Chilean side - and the consolation prize of a place in the Copa Sudamericana.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Deportivo Pereira win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.