Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas
Dep. Pereira2 - 1Monagas
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Pereira and Monagas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Dep. Pereira
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Pereira win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Pereira would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Monagas |
48.91% ( 0.39) | 25.64% ( -0.29) | 25.45% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( 1.06) | 52.88% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% ( 0.9) | 74.49% ( -0.89) |
Deportivo Pereira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.36% ( 0.61) | 21.64% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.24% ( 0.93) | 54.76% ( -0.93) |
Monagas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% ( 0.49) | 35.77% ( -0.49) |