MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:48:47| >> :60:261:261:
Medellin
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
4 - 2
Metropolitanos

Gruezo (1' og.), Cadavid (25'), Monsalve (34'), Pons (45')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Londono (15' og.), Marchan (90+3')
Cermeno (35'), Ferro (69'), Larotonda (71')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Metropolitanos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

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Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Medellin
Wednesday, April 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Metropolitanos

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Metropolitanos
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawMetropolitanos
56.85% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 25.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 17.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 39.99% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.91% (-0.17 -0.17)61.09% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.94% (-0.128 -0.13)81.06% (0.123 0.12)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)21.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)54.79% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.05% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)48.95% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.08% (-0.168 -0.17)83.92% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 56.84%
    Metropolitanos 17.38%
    Draw 25.76%
Independiente MedellinDrawMetropolitanos
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.4% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.84%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.6% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.38%

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