Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 0Magallanes
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Independiente Medellin and Magallanes.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Magallanes 1-1 Medellin
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Magallanes had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Magallanes win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Magallanes |
48.32% ( -0.17) | 25.32% ( -0) | 26.36% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
