MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:10:32| >> :60:1162:1162:
Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
4 - 0
Bolivar

Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Villamil (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Botafogo
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Bolivar

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Bolivar

 Palmeiras looked an unstoppable force on home soil until they suffered defeat to Botafogo last weekend, and returning to winning ways is not a given for the Alviverde considering that they have already lost to Bolivar this season. Indeed, the visitors head to Brazil in buoyant mood needing just a draw to claim top spot in Group C and we believe that the Bolivian side will pick up the point they need in an entertaining contest at Allianz Parque. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 77.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Bolivar win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
77.46% (0.527 0.53) 13.84% (-0.214 -0.21) 8.7% (-0.306 -0.31)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.549 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.51% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)30.49% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)51.78% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63% (0.104 0.1)6.37% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1% (0.274 0.27)23.9% (-0.268 -0.27)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.57% (-0.646 -0.65)43.43% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.35% (-0.546 -0.55)79.65% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 77.46%
    Bolivar 8.7%
    Draw 13.84%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 10.48% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 9.63% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.03% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
4-1 @ 5.53% (0.023 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.65% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.68% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.4% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 77.46%
1-1 @ 6.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.77%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.84%
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 2.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 0.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bolivar

Palmeiras
66.7%
Draw
13.3%
Bolivar
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Manuel Lopez (13')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!