MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:16:08| >> :600:4584108:4584108:
Penarol
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Atletico Mineiro

Penarol
2 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Hernandez (70'), Silvera (76')
Darias (58'), Sosa (60'), Milans (63'), Fuchs (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Franco (35'), Paulinho (66'), Fuchs (90+5'), Vargas (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Penarol and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Wanderers
Saturday, May 11 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Penarol win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawAtletico Mineiro
25.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 27.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 47.23% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)59.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.25% (0.030999999999999 0.03)79.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.58% (0.038000000000004 0.04)39.42% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.88% (0.035 0.04)76.12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (0.013000000000005 0.01)25.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.018000000000001 0.02)59.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 25.37%
    Atletico Mineiro 47.22%
    Draw 27.4%
PenarolDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.4%
0-1 @ 13.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.49%
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.22%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Atletico Mineiro
3-2
Penarol
Scarpa (15', 57'), Paulinho (26')
Saravia (40'), Otavio (71'), Jemerson (80'), Franco (81')
Olivera (60'), Silvera (68')
Darias (41'), Olivera (82'), Ramirez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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