Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Rosario1 - 0Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 1-2 Barracas Central
Thursday, March 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, March 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Nacional
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Penarol |
42.44% ( -0.06) | 26.17% ( 0.04) | 31.4% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
