First place is virtually a lock for River Plate, so they may be a little cagey in this encounter, but they have more than enough depth to find a way through Tachira, who do not have any solid chance creators on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.99%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.93%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
81.99% ( -0.61)	12.69% ( 0.41)	5.31% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.46% (

-1.12)

39.53% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12% (

-1.18)

61.88% (

1.17)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.61% (

-0.37)

7.38% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.37% (

-0.97)

26.63% (

0.97)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.62% (

-0.09)

59.38% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.67% (

-0.04)

90.33% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

River Plate 81.98%

Deportivo Tachira 5.31%

Draw 12.69%

River Plate	Draw	Deportivo Tachira
2-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.37) 4-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 81.98%	1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 12.69%	0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.47% Total : 5.31%