Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo4 - 0Cesar Vallejo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Cesar Vallejo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 1-2 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Cesar Vallejo |
62.28% ( -0.13) | 21.92% ( -0.05) | 15.8% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.22% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
