MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 16:55:12| >> :60:195:195:
Bragantino
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
7 - 1
Tacuary

Vinicios (6', 29'), Evangelista (19'), Sasha (21', 48', 49'), Borbas (87')
Silva (40'), Hurtado (81'), Vitinho (90+2')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Ruiz (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Bragantino and Tacuary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Goias
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Oriente 1-3 Tacuary
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bragantino 2-0 Tacuary

Bragantino are already assured of a spot in the knockout stages, but they will be determined to finish top of the pile in Group C ahead of Estudiantes. Tacuary will look to end their Sudamericana campaign with a shock result on Wednesday, although we believe the Paraguayans will come away from Sao Paulo empty handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 78.44%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.55%) and 1-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Tacuary win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawTacuary
78.44% (1.314 1.31) 14.45% (-0.554 -0.55) 7.11% (-0.7571 -0.76)
Both teams to score 42.02% (-1.887 -1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.299 -0.3)40.04% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.311 -0.31)62.41% (0.312 0.31)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.71% (0.23099999999999 0.23)8.29% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.07% (0.565 0.56)28.93% (-0.562 -0.56)
Tacuary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.82% (-2.177 -2.18)54.18% (2.18 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.61% (-1.379 -1.38)87.38% (1.381 1.38)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 78.43%
    Tacuary 7.11%
    Draw 14.45%
BragantinoDrawTacuary
2-0 @ 13.92% (0.49 0.49)
3-0 @ 11.55% (0.52 0.52)
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-0 @ 7.2% (0.403 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 3.59% (0.238 0.24)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.187 -0.19)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.114 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 78.43%
1-1 @ 6.85% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 2.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 14.45%
0-1 @ 2.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.1% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 7.11%

How you voted: Bragantino vs Tacuary

Bragantino
100%
Draw
0.0%
Tacuary
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Tacuary
1-4
Bragantino
Carius (22')
Capixaba (39'), Alerrandro (49'), Talisson (62'), Neves (77')
rhs 2.0
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