MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 09:25:26| >> :60:656:656:
Ceara
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Sao Paulo

Ceara
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Mendoza (44'), Castilho (63')
Richardson (23'), Luis (77'), Vinicius (87')
FT
(aet)
Vinicius (54')
Galoppo (17'), Vinicius (26'), Miranda (86'), Calleri (90+1')
Sao Paulo win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Ceara and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Ceara
Saturday, August 6 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Flamengo
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We say: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo

Ceara have proven tough to beat in recent times, but we think that Sao Paulo can avoid defeat, too, meaning they would progress to the semi-finals. It is tough to envisage a particularly open game with the onus on the hosts to attack, especially with this not being their usual gameplan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 43.2%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.65%).

Result
CearaDrawSao Paulo
43.2% (0.058 0.06) 30.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.81% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 37.14% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.27% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)69.73% (0.038000000000011 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.94% (-0.025 -0.03)87.06% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.012999999999991 0.01)32.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02)68.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)45.04% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.067 -0.07)80.97% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 43.2%
    Sao Paulo 25.81%
    Draw 30.97%
CearaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 16.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 43.2%
0-0 @ 14.6% (0.02 0.02)
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 30.97%
0-1 @ 11.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 25.81%

How you voted: Ceara vs Sao Paulo

Ceara
25.7%
Draw
34.3%
Sao Paulo
40.0%
35
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2022 11.15pm
Sao Paulo
1-0
Ceara
Nikao (70')
Welington (42'), Maia (90+5')

Paraiba (14'), Luis (81')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Sao Paulo
2-2
Ceara
Calleri (8'), Nestor (42')
Anderson (34'), Rafinha (64'), Gomes (66')
Gomes (90')
Cleber (37'), Mendoza (71')
Ribeiro (16'), Richardson (20'), Junior (44'), Mendoza (66')
Oct 14, 2021 11pm
Sao Paulo
1-1
Ceara
Calleri (52')
Miranda (38'), Manuel Orejuela (48'), Calleri (61')
Fabinho (23')
Fabinho (36'), Richard (45+3'), Oliveira (86')
Jun 28, 2021 12.30am
Ceara
1-1
Sao Paulo
Jorginho (23')
Jorginho (26'), Saulo (45+1'), Lacerda (68'), Jael (81')
Dias (53' og.)
Reinaldo (26'), Hernanes (28'), Eder (53'), Alves (76'), Benitez (77'), Juan (90+1')
Feb 11, 2021 12am
Sao Paulo
1-1
Ceara
Luciano (90+7')
Pablo (23'), Gomes (49'), Juanfran (67'), Toro (90+10')
Chu (90+3')
Xavier (21'), Charles (63'), Tiago (71'), Ferreira (75'), Sobral (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!