Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians4 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 2 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Club Nacional |
68.4% ( 0.01) | 19.14% ( -0) | 12.47% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 47.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.14% ( 0.01) | 44.86% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.79% ( 0) | 67.21% ( -0) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.94% ( 0) | 12.06% ( -0) |