MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:33:57| >> :60:101:101:
Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 0
Union La Calera

Pereira (7')
Pereira (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aued (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Union La Calera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Union La Calera

All competitions
Last Game: U. Catolica 4-0 Union La Calera
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 8.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
CruzeiroDrawUnion La Calera
75.18% (-1.483 -1.48) 16.09% (0.475 0.47) 8.73% (1.009 1.01)
Both teams to score 44.02% (3.022 3.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (1.388 1.39)41.82% (-1.388 -1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (1.382 1.38)64.23% (-1.383 -1.38)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.52% (-0.012 -0.01)9.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)31.81% (0.029 0.03)
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.63% (3.344 3.34)51.37% (-3.345 -3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.41% (2.122 2.12)85.59% (-2.123 -2.12)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 75.17%
    Union La Calera 8.73%
    Draw 16.09%
CruzeiroDrawUnion La Calera
2-0 @ 13.51% (-0.88 -0.88)
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.74 -0.74)
3-0 @ 10.61% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-1 @ 9% (0.324 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.25 0.25)
4-0 @ 6.25% (-0.413 -0.41)
4-1 @ 4.17% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.95% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.299 0.3)
5-1 @ 1.96% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.175 0.18)
6-0 @ 1.16% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 75.17%
1-1 @ 7.64% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 4.87% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3% (0.381 0.38)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 16.09%
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.119 0.12)
1-2 @ 2.55% (0.325 0.33)
0-2 @ 1.08% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.73%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Union La Calera
0-0
Cruzeiro
Ferrario (21'), Aued (64')
Elias (60'), Silva (74'), Silva (80')
rhs 2.0
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