Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro3 - 3Alianza Petrolera
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Alianza Petrolera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: U. Catolica 0-0 Cruzeiro
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-1 Union La Calera
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 72.18%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.37%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Alianza Petrolera |
72.18% ( -0.14) | 18.45% ( 0.05) | 9.37% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 39.12% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
