We said: Cuiaba 1-1 Palestino (Cuiaba advances on penalties)
Given what is at stake in this encounter, we expect the pressure may get the better of these two sides, who are unfamiliar with knockout football.
While it could be a nervy affair on Wednesday, we expect the energy and belief that Cuiaba have built up in this tournament will eventually pay off.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.