MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:40:44| >> :60:58:58:
Cuiaba
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
1 - 2
Palestino

Luis (78')
Mineiro (24'), Deyverson (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Marabel (8'), Sosa (61')
Martinez (43'), Rojas (56'), Marabel (60'), Linares (78'), Carrasco (82'), Rigamonti (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Cuiaba and Palestino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Monday, July 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Cuiaba 1-1 Palestino (Cuiaba advances on penalties)

Given what is at stake in this encounter, we expect the pressure may get the better of these two sides, who are unfamiliar with knockout football. While it could be a nervy affair on Wednesday, we expect the energy and belief that Cuiaba have built up in this tournament will eventually pay off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 22.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Palestino win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawPalestino
53.78% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 23.94% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 22.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.02% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)48.94% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)71.03% (0.101 0.1)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)18.12% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.126 -0.13)49.06% (0.13 0.13)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 53.77%
    Palestino 22.27%
    Draw 23.94%
CuiabaDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 22.27%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Palestino

Cuiaba
56.0%
Draw
36.0%
Palestino
8.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 11pm
Round of 32 1st Leg
Palestino
1-1
Cuiaba
Linares (33')
Roman (45+3'), Benitez (55')
Deyverson (61')
Sobral (87'), Alves (90+5'), Max (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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