Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 1st Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
Palestino1 - 1Cuiaba
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Palestino 0-0 Cuiaba
It has been a while since either side played in a game on such a big stage, and we expect to see a nervy affair between two teams that may want to avoid defeat more than anything. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Cuiaba |
42.83% ( 0.13) | 26.72% ( -0.01) | 30.44% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
