MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 06:02:21| >> :120:11485:11485:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Tolima
3 - 1
Puerto Cabello

Guzman (5'), Bone (27'), Herazo (43')
David Rios (39')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Figueroa (45+1')
Colina (25'), Rivero (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Deportes Tolima and Academia Puerto Cabello, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportes Tolima

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Last Game: Sao Paulo 5-0 Tolima
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Academia Puerto Cabello

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, June 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Deportes Tolima 1-0 Academia Puerto Cabello

 These are two defensive-minded teams with nothing to play for, and we anticipate a close game with the Colombians' experience in big tournaments and overall quality narrowly coming out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.

Result
Deportes TolimaDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
51.11% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 25.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.47% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.173 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.36% (-0.18 -0.18)53.64% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.86% (-0.152 -0.15)75.13% (0.152 0.15)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)21% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)53.78% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.182 -0.18)37.96% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.176 -0.18)74.73% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Deportes Tolima 51.11%
    Academia Puerto Cabello 23.47%
    Draw 25.42%
Deportes TolimaDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 51.11%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.47%

How you voted: Tolima vs Puerto Cabello

Deportes Tolima
100%
Draw
0.0%
Academia Puerto Cabello
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Puerto Cabello
0-2
Tolima
Guzman (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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