MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:28:14| >> :60:636:636:
Goias
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio de Haile Pinheiro

Goias
0 - 0
Gimnasia


Lucas (45+2'), Edu (82'), Santos (87'), Maguinho (90+5')
Ariel (66')
FT

Morales (45+3'), Miramon (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Goias and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Goias 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, June 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Union 2-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, June 4 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Goias 2-0 Gimnasia

Given that Gimnasia have failed to score in three of their previous four matches, we expect Goias to book their place in the Copa Sudamericana knockouts with a comfortable clean-sheet victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
GoiasDrawGimnasia
54.43% (0.398 0.4) 24.8% (-0.179 -0.18) 20.77% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 47.48% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (0.443 0.44)53.95% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (0.373 0.37)75.4% (-0.371 -0.37)
Goias Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.334 0.33)19.78% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (0.534 0.53)51.83% (-0.532 -0.53)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.19% (0.030000000000001 0.03)40.81% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.39% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Goias 54.43%
    Gimnasia 20.77%
    Draw 24.8%
GoiasDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 13.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.73% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 20.77%

How you voted: Goias vs Gimnasia

Goias
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Gimnasia
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Gimnasia
0-2
Goias
Vinicius (55' pen.), Peixoto (82' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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