MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:20:57| >> :60:2768:2768:
Independiente
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Ceara

Independiente
0 - 2
Ceara


Benegas (45+4'), Vigo (62'), Manuel Insaurralde (76'), Marquez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindoso (45+5'), Mendoza (90+1')
Vinicius (28'), Richard (45+1'), Richardson (68'), Lima (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Independiente 2-2 Ceara

There has been very little to separate these two teams in this competition so far, and that will likely end up being the case again this week. They proved to be two evenly-matched outfits earlier this season, and with qualification already guaranteed a closely-contested draw would likely suit both. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawCeara
36.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 28.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)79.68% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)31.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.9% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.061 0.06)68.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 36.53%
    Ceara 35.19%
    Draw 28.27%
IndependienteDrawCeara
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.19%

How you voted: Independiente vs Ceara

Independiente
22.2%
Draw
77.8%
Ceara
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Ceara
2-1
Independiente
Mendoza (60' pen.), Roberto (66')
Mendoza (7'), Paraiba (56'), Sobral (69'), Pacheco (75')
Paraiba (63')
Togni (32')
Costa (7'), Asis (55'), Blanco (58'), Romero (59'), Sosa (67')
Costa (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!