MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:35:25| >> :60:703:703:
Independiente
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 19, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
4 - 0
Deportivo

Cumana (41' og.), Benegas (47', 90'), Roa (83')
Vigo (31'), Pozzo (43'), Benegas (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aramburu (11'), Flores (85'), Rivas (86'), Olses (87')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Deportivo La Guaira

Last Six:
    Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
    Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 20.54%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

    Result
    IndependienteDrawDeportivo La Guaira
    52.98% (-0.197 -0.2) 26.47% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 20.54% (0.123 0.12)
    Both teams to score 42.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    39.99% (-0.111 -0.11)60.01% (0.109 0.11)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    19.75% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)80.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
    Independiente Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.16% (-0.133 -0.13)22.84% (0.129 0.13)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.43% (-0.197 -0.2)56.57% (0.193 0.19)
    Deportivo La Guaira Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    55.43% (0.070999999999998 0.07)44.56% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    19.42% (0.058 0.06)80.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
    Score Analysis
        Independiente 52.98%
        Deportivo La Guaira 20.54%
        Draw 26.46%
    IndependienteDrawDeportivo La Guaira
    1-0 @ 15.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-0 @ 11.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
    2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.042 -0.04)
    3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
    4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
    3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
    4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
    Other @ 2.58%
    Total : 52.98%
    		1-1 @ 12.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
    0-0 @ 10.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
    2-2 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    Other @ 0.52%
    Total : 26.46%
    		0-1 @ 8.23% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
    1-2 @ 4.91% (0.021 0.02)
    0-2 @ 3.33% (0.027 0.03)
    1-3 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
    2-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 1.78%
    Total : 20.54%

    How you voted: Independiente vs Deportivo

    Independiente
    60.0%
    Draw
    40.0%
    Deportivo La Guaira
    0.0%
    5
    Head to Head
    Apr 26, 2022 11.15pm
    Deportivo
    0-2
    Independiente

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    Messias (70'), Fernandez (90+1')
    Barreto (18'), Asis (27'), Romero (88')
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