MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:39:11| >> :60:148:148:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín

Melgar
2 - 1
Deportivo Cali

Cuesta (58' pen., 73')
Deneumostier (51'), Reyna (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mosquera (90+7')
Gutierrez (37'), Velasco (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Melgar and Deportivo Cali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melgar

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Last Game: Deportivo Cali 0-0 Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Deportivo Cali

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Last Game: Deportivo Cali 0-0 Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Melgar 2-0 Deportivo Cali

 Melgar might have struggled to create many chances offensively during their previous encounter with Deportivo Cali, but they still head into this game as the favourites to win. The hosts have been consistent and dominant throughout the campaign in all competitions, and that is something that should help guide them to a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Deportivo Cali win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melgar would win this match.

Result
MelgarDrawDeportivo Cali
61.35% (-0.123 -0.12) 21.57% (0.031000000000002 0.03) 17.07% (0.090999999999998 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)46.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.02 0.02)68.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)14.5% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-0.061 -0.06)42.5% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Deportivo Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.61% (0.121 0.12)40.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (0.111 0.11)77% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Melgar 61.34%
    Deportivo Cali 17.07%
    Draw 21.57%
MelgarDrawDeportivo Cali
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 61.34%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 17.07%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 1.30am
Deportivo Cali
0-0
Melgar

Congo (19'), Velasco (52')
Lucumi (85'), Luna (89')

Reyna (45'), Orzan (55'), Sanchez (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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