Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi
River Plate1 - 2Melgar
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Melgar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Melgar |
| 44.59% | 22.91% | 32.5% |
| Both teams to score 64.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
