MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:10:32| >> :60:2205:2205:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 2
Melgar

Lavega (90+3')
Clar (24'), Borbas (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cuesta (22'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (90+5')
Reyna (38'), Pierre Archimbaud Arriaran (90+6')
Caceda (56')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between River Plate and Melgar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Melgar 3-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, May 26 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Deportivo Cali vs. Melgar
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawMelgar
44.59%22.91%32.5%
Both teams to score 64.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41%36.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.26%58.74%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09%16.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04%46.96%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48%22.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91%56.09%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 44.59%
    Melgar 32.5%
    Draw 22.9%
River PlateDrawMelgar
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.36%
4-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.81%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.5%

How you voted: River Plate vs Melgar

River Plate
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Melgar
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2022 11.15pm
Melgar
2-0
River Plate
Cuesta (3', 78')
Quevedo (90+1')

Galletto (34'), Pereira (45+1')
rhs 2.0
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