Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Palestino1 - 2Fortaleza
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Palestino 1-1 Fortaleza
Tuesday's game is far more important to Palestino, and we expect them to book their place in the next round of the Copa Sudamericana by picking up a point. While Fortaleza have been very impressive in the competition up to this point, they did struggle in their last away match against Estudiantes Merida. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Palestino win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Fortaleza |
28.63% ( -0.01) | 25.32% ( 0.01) | 46.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
