Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza3 - 2San Lorenzo
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and San Lorenzo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Instituto
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | San Lorenzo |
53.28% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.03) | 20.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
