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San Lorenzo
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Apr 2, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Rosario

Di Santo (37'), Romero (90+13')
Melano (64'), Rosane (70'), Sabella (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanlongo (35'), Avila (43'), Blanco (75'), Vecchio (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+10')
Vecchio (90+10'), Blanco (90+12')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 28.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
43.8%28.19%28.01%
Both teams to score 45.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.36%60.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28%80.71%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96%63.03%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13%37.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36%74.63%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 43.8%
    Rosario Central 28.01%
    Draw 28.18%
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 13.44%
2-0 @ 8.67%
2-1 @ 8.42%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 28.01%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2019 9.45pm
Gameweek 3
San Lorenzo
2-2
Rosario
Belluschi (23'), Pitton (42')
Salazar (20'), Menossi (44')
Riano (12'), Rius (21')
Caruzzo (31'), Rinaudo (41')
Mar 17, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 23
Rosario
0-1
San Lorenzo

Parot (59')
Reniero (93')
Rodriguez (59')
rhs 2.0
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