Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.