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Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Bologna

Anderson (33')
Zaccagni (61'), Alberto (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sosa (57'), Zirkzee (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Bologna

Manager Maurizio Sarri has enough attacking options in reserve to rest some of his big-hitters and cope with the absence of Immobile while still getting the job done here. A lack of available striking options will affect the visitors, as they may need to rely on pace on the counter-attack to have any chance here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawBologna
57.01% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 21.81% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.18% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.043999999999997 0.04)40.93% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.045999999999999 0.05)63.32% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83%14.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.073 0.07)69.58% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 57.01%
    Bologna 21.18%
    Draw 21.81%
LazioDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.18%

How you voted: Lazio vs Bologna

Lazio
87.7%
Draw
10.4%
Bologna
1.9%
106
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
Lazio
2-1
Bologna
De Silvestri (68' og.), Immobile (79')
Sarri (58'), Lazzari (71'), Immobile (90+1')
Maximiano (6')
Arnautovic (38' pen.)
Sansone (23'), Arnautovic (38'), Soumaoro (40'), Cambiaso (53'), Aebischer (86')
Soumaoro (45+4')
Feb 12, 2022 2pm
Lazio
3-0
Bologna
Immobile (13' pen.), Zaccagni (53', 63')
Alberto (40'), Leiva (59')

Svanberg (20'), Medel (45')
Oct 3, 2021 11.30am
Bologna
3-0
Lazio
Barrow (14'), Theate (17'), Hickey (68')
Soumaoro (53'), De Silvestri (90+5')

Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Pedro (66'), Lazzari (75'), Acerbi (76'), Felipe (90+2')
Acerbi (76')
Feb 27, 2021 5pm
Bologna
2-0
Lazio
M'baye (19'), Sansone (64')
Larangeira (9')

Patric (40'), Hoedt (81')
Oct 24, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
2-1
Bologna
Alberto (54'), Immobile (76')
Acerbi (30'), Hoedt (60'), Akpa-Akpro (70')
De Silvestri (90+1')
Tomiyasu (58'), Svanberg (66')
rhs 2.0
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