Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
29.85% ( -0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.31) | 45.7% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.89% ( 1.12) | 45.11% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.54% ( 1.07) | 67.46% ( -1.07) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.23) | 28.34% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% ( 0.29) | 64.07% ( -0.28) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% ( 0.81) | 19.86% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.05% ( 1.29) | 51.95% ( -1.29) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |