COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Moses Mabhida Stadium
Malawi2 - 0Comoros
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Malawi and Comoros.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 2-0 Seychelles
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 9 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Comoros |
34.2% ( 0.34) | 28.44% ( 0.13) | 37.36% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
