Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
Ethiopia0 - 0Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-3 Guinea
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Ethiopia 1-0 Malawi
Both teams have struggled defensively of late, but Ethiopia's better offensive form makes them favourites for this one. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.03%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Malawi |
46.24% ( 4.22) | 30.79% ( 9.17) | 22.98% ( -13.39) |
| Both teams to score 35.62% ( -35.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.49% ( -41.65) | 70.5% ( 41.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.45% ( -37.75) | 87.55% ( 37.75) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -16.35) | 31.13% ( 16.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.54% ( -24.41) | 67.46% ( 24.4) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.72% ( -31.25) | 48.28% ( 31.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.57% ( -36.27) | 83.43% ( 36.26) |
| Score Analysis |
Ethiopia 46.23%
Malawi 22.97%
Draw 30.78%
| Ethiopia | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 17.53% ( 12.72) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 5.63)2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.69)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 2.9% ( -2.29)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -3.54)Other @ 1.92% Total : 46.23% | 0-0 @ 15.03% ( 12.51) 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 4.25)2-2 @ 2.71% ( -4.5)Other @ 0.27% Total : 30.78% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( 6.48) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -2.89)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -3.32)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -1.36)Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.97% |
How you voted: Ethiopia vs Malawi
Ethiopia
69.0%Draw
27.6%Malawi
3.4%29
