COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium
Mauritius0 - 2Lesotho
Patate (19'), Saramandif (51'), Balisson (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mauritius and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritius 1-0 Kenya
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Comoros
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lesotho would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Lesotho |
23.57% ( -0.35) | 25.51% ( -0.09) | 50.92% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
