MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 10:56:42| >> :60:653:653:
Mauritius national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Anjalay Stadium
Kenya national football team

Mauritius
1 - 0
Kenya

Saramandif (22')
Bru (38'), Vincent (61'), Jean-Louis (66'), Collard (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miheso (11'), Odada (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mauritius and Kenya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Djibouti 3-1 Mauritius
Wednesday, June 14 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Kenya 1-0 Pakistan
Wednesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mauritius 1-2 Kenya

Having played a game less than the other sides, Kenya could secure second place with a win, which would be a great outcome for them and a huge step for Kenyan football as a whole. They showed enough ability in their win over Pakistan for us to fancy them to edge this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritius in this match.

Result
MauritiusDrawKenya
42.02% (13.856 13.86) 26.49% (1.608 1.61) 31.49% (-15.467 -15.47)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-3.306 -3.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.9% (-5.14 -5.14)53.09% (5.136 5.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.32% (-4.547 -4.55)74.67% (4.544 4.54)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (5.999 6)24.98% (-6.003 -6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (7.65 7.65)59.64% (-7.653 -7.65)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-10.769 -10.77)31.24% (10.766 10.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-14.647 -14.65)67.58% (14.644 14.64)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 42.01%
    Kenya 31.49%
    Draw 26.48%
MauritiusDrawKenya
1-0 @ 10.82% (3.389 3.39)
2-1 @ 8.73% (1.829 1.83)
2-0 @ 7.51% (3.153 3.15)
3-1 @ 4.04% (1.341 1.34)
3-0 @ 3.47% (1.77 1.77)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.21 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.61 0.61)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.705 0.71)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.81 0.81)
0-0 @ 7.8% (1.461 1.46)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.22 -0.22)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.979 -0.98)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-2.022 -2.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-2.697 -2.7)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-2.101 -2.1)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-2.17 -2.17)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.925 -0.93)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.49%

How you voted: Mauritius vs Kenya

Mauritius
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Kenya
50.0%
10
rhs 2.0
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