COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
Senegal2 - 1Malawi
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Malawi |
| 54.8% | 23% | 22.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.99% | 45.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% | 16.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.11% | 45.89% |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% | 34.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.96% | 71.04% |
| Score Analysis |
Senegal 54.79%
Malawi 22.2%
Draw 22.99%
| Senegal | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 5.99% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.13% Total : 22.2% |
How you voted: Senegal vs Malawi
Senegal
85.7%Draw
9.5%Malawi
4.8%21
