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Union Berlin logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Heidenheim

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Heidenheim

Puchacz (7'), Michel (52')
Knoche (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mainka (29'), Geipl (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Union Berlin and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Heidenheim

 Should Fischer significantly rotate his starting XI, which would not be surprising given that they are competing on three fronts this season, Heidenheim may push their opponents all of the way. However, Union Berlin generally remain defensively resolute regardless of the personnel within their back five, and we expect no different on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHeidenheim
41.27% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07) 26.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 32.21% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.77% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.224 0.22)52.98% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.191 0.19)74.58% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.9% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.1% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (0.193 0.19)30.68% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.227 0.23)66.94% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 41.27%
    Heidenheim 32.21%
    Draw 26.51%
Union BerlinDrawHeidenheim
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.21%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Heidenheim

Union Berlin
86.3%
Draw
11.8%
Heidenheim
2.0%
51
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Heidenheim
2-1
Union Berlin
Glatzel (48'), Schnatterer (56')
Griesbeck (8')
Zulj (23')
Hubner (58'), Mane (88'), Trimmel (90')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Gikiewicz (90')
Andersson (52'), Schmiedebach (59'), Trimmel (90')
Glatzel (57')
Glatzel (7'), Griesbeck (41'), Andrich (62'), Theuerkauf (90')
Apr 21, 2018 12pm
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Prince Redondo (74')
Leistner (55')
Dovedan (58')
Theuerkauf (90')
Nov 18, 2017 12pm
Heidenheim
4-3
Union Berlin
Feick (44'), Verhoek (61', 74'), Schnatterer (66')
Thiel (78'), Philp (90')
Polter (63' pen.), Skrzybski (72', 75')
Kreilach (32'), Pedersen (60')
rhs 2.0
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