Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.