Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 2-1 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Ajax |
48.72% | 23.04% | 28.24% |
Both teams to score 61.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.4% | 39.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% | 61.94% |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.49% | 16.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.75% | 46.25% |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% | 26.64% |