Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.98%) and 0-1 (5.92%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.