Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II3 - 2Telstar
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Telstar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-1 Willem II
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 1-1 Groningen
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 76.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 8.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
76.73% ( 0.21) | 14.3% ( -0.06) | 8.97% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.07% ( -0.24) | 31.93% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.51% ( -0.28) | 53.49% ( 0.28) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.18% ( -0.01) | 6.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.87% ( -0.03) | 25.13% ( 0.03) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.08% ( -0.48) | 43.92% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.94% ( -0.4) | 80.05% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 76.72%
Telstar 8.97%
Draw 14.3%
| Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 76.72% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.03% Total : 14.3% | 1-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.76% Total : 8.97% |
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 7pm
May 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 36
Telstar
0-0
Willem II
Form Guide
