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EFL Cup
Norwich logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Birmingham logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Birmingham

Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
FT
(aet)
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Norwich win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Championship

Birmingham City

Last Six:
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Huddersfield
Friday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We say: Norwich City 2-1 Birmingham City

 Norwich will undoubtedly be the more fired up of the two sides after the weekend's perceived injustice and spate of injuries, and their recent spate of results against Birmingham makes for positive reading. The Blues would do well to exploit the wide areas, with Norwich suffering the most in that area, but we have faith in the Canaries to finally kickstart their season and give their fans something to cheer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%).

Result
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
41.02% (-0.052 -0.05) 25.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 33.2% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)49.68% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)71.7% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)23.97% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)58.21% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)28.4% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.02%
    Birmingham City 33.2%
    Draw 25.78%
Norwich CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.02%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.2%

How you voted: Norwich vs Birmingham

Norwich City
91.9%
Birmingham City
8.1%
37
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Norwich
1-0
Birmingham
Vrancic (87')
Idah (89')

Clayton (50'), Dean (54'), Friend (88'), Sunjic (90')
Clayton (86')
Jan 18, 2019 7.45pm
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Pukki (13'), Vrancic (22'), Trybull (25')
Adams (14')
Kieftenbeld (27'), Pedersen (29'), Gardner (80'), Morrison (87')
> Match Report
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Norwich
Maghoma (56'), Solomon-Otabor (89')
Hernandez (83', 90')
Hernandez (84'), Marshall (86'), McLean (86')
Dec 26, 2017 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Norwich

Kieftenbeld (45')
Pritchard (33'), Murphy (71')
Zimmermann (52'), Murphy (79')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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