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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Birmingham logo

Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham

FT

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
50.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.16% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.307 0.31)57.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.242 0.24)78.49% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.116 0.12)23.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.17 0.17)56.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.27500000000001 0.28)40.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.246 0.25)77.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.36%
    Birmingham City 23.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Birmingham

Luton Town
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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