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EFL Cup
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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Stevenage

Norwich
4 - 3
Stevenage

Kamara (26'), Hernandez (35', 60'), Sainz (48')
Long (25'), Forsyth (75')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Goode (28'), Appere (45+1'), Hills (88+2' og.)
White (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Norwich City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stevenage

 Following their shock defeat on the weekend, Norwich will be desperate to put League One Stevenage to the sword in the cup at Carrow Road on Tuesday. The Boro have a history of recording giant killings in recent times, but we feel that the third-tier visitors will fall to defeat in East Anglia with little fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStevenage
44.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.8% (0.0039999999999978 0) 31.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)46.04% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)68.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)20.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.72% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.04%
    Stevenage 31.16%
    Draw 24.79%
Norwich CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.04%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 5.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stevenage

Norwich City
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Stevenage
3.9%
51
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 7pm
Club Friendlies
Stevenage
0-0
Norwich
> Preview
Jul 9, 2024
7pm
Club Friendlies 3
Stevenage  
vs.
  Norwich
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
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3-1
Stevenage
Stiepermann (27'), Zimmermann (83'), Pukki (89')
Zimmermann (39'), Passlack (58')
Ball (40')
Guthrie (73')
Jul 11, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stevenage
2-2
Norwich
Samuel (31'), Gorman (67' pen.)
Oliveira (7'), Pritchard (24')
rhs 2.0
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