MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 21:55:11| >> :60:463:463:
Tranmere Rovers
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Newcastle logo

Tranmere
1 - 2
Newcastle

Nevitt (21')
Hemmings (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lascelles (40'), Wood (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-4 Newcastle United

Tranmere will naturally take encouragement from Howe almost certainly making widespread changes to his starting lineup. Nevertheless, this is a united Newcastle group who will want to impress, and we are backing the Magpies to run away with this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
28.53% (0.45 0.45) 24.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 47.23% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.167 0.17)44.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.162 0.16)67.27% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.40900000000001 0.41)29.15% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (0.501 0.5)65.08% (-0.503 -0.5)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.129 -0.13)19.14% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (-0.214 -0.21)50.78% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 28.53%
    Newcastle United 47.23%
    Draw 24.24%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.105 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Newcastle

Tranmere Rovers
18.8%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
81.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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