MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 23:40:58| >> :120:19808:19808:
Tranmere Rovers
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Newcastle logo

Tranmere
1 - 2
Newcastle

Nevitt (21')
Hemmings (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lascelles (40'), Wood (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-4 Newcastle United

Tranmere will naturally take encouragement from Howe almost certainly making widespread changes to his starting lineup. Nevertheless, this is a united Newcastle group who will want to impress, and we are backing the Magpies to run away with this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
28.53% (0.45 0.45) 24.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 47.23% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.167 0.17)44.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.162 0.16)67.27% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.40900000000001 0.41)29.15% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (0.501 0.5)65.08% (-0.503 -0.5)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.129 -0.13)19.14% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (-0.214 -0.21)50.78% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 28.53%
    Newcastle United 47.23%
    Draw 24.24%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.105 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Newcastle

Tranmere Rovers
Draw
Newcastle United
Tranmere Rovers
18.8%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
81.3%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!