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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.01%
    Nottingham Forest 26.74%
    Draw 28.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest

Newcastle United
57.9%
Draw
17.5%
Nottingham Forest
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Nott'm Forest
Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
Dumitru (29')
Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
Mills (60')
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Newcastle
Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
Ritchie (45')
Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
Mar 29, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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