MX23RW : Monday, January 6 00:21:36| >> :120:77710:77710:
Bristol Rovers
EFL Trophy | Third Round
Dec 13, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Memorial Stadium
MK Dons

Bristol Rovers
4 - 1
MK Dons

Hoole (33'), Marquis (54', 66'), Saunders (71')
McCormick (82')
Kilgour (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eisa (79' pen.)
Johnson (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bristol Rovers and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 MK Dons

 MK Dons have been in strong form in the EFL Trophy this season, but Bristol Rovers have only lost one of their last seven games in all competitions, and we are finding it difficult to look past Barton's side here when it comes to choosing a winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
47.02% (-0.973 -0.97) 24.6% (0.073 0.07) 28.39% (0.9 0.9)
Both teams to score 55.99% (0.438 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (0.264 0.26)46.58% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14% (0.246 0.25)68.86% (-0.245 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)19.89% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (-0.489 -0.49)52.02% (0.49 0.49)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.803 0.8)30.11% (-0.803 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.954 0.95)66.25% (-0.95399999999999 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 47.02%
    MK Dons 28.39%
    Draw 24.6%
Bristol RoversDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.079 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs MK Dons

Bristol Rovers
72.4%
Draw
13.8%
MK Dons
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
0-1
Bristol Rovers
Evans (76' pen.)
Collins (15')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
0-2
MK Dons

Rodman (42'), McCormick (70'), Martinez (85'), Kilgour (90+1')
Fraser (17'), Grigg (60')
Sorinola (45'), Kasumu (55'), Fisher (78')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Gladwin (45+3'), Fraser (63')
Gladwin (47'), Keogh (90+5')

McCormick (85')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Healey (16'), Nombe (60'), Agard (84')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
1-0
MK Dons
Davies (49')
Rodman (30')

Martin (20'), Cargill (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!