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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (87')
Coutts (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Politic (63'), Butterworth (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale

 With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair. However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
42.4% (0.571 0.57) 25.75% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.94% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.434 0.43)71.93% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.498 0.5)23.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.716 0.72)57.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 42.4%
    Port Vale 31.84%
    Draw 25.75%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.84%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Bristol Rovers
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Port Vale
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Proctor (2')
Hall (47'), Benning (49')
Anderson (10'), Connolly (32'), Loft (90+4')
Taylor (8'), Anderson (22'), Coutts (45'), Grant (51'), Finley (77'), Anderson (90+5')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Port Vale
Collins (56')
Whelan (86'), Pitman (90+5')
Finley (15'), Harries (77')
Garrity (31', 33')
Jones (58'), Politic (60')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke (16'), Nichols (62' pen.), Rodman (68')
Clarke (22'), Rodman (45')

Hannant (45'), Conlon (54')
Conlon (58')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Harris (54' og.)
Knops (80'), Pugh (91')
Bodin (78')
Sweeney (41'), Harris (42'), Harrison (45')
Sep 24, 2016 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Port Vale
Harrison (44'), Easter (63' pen.)
Sinclair (87')
Paterson (23')
Thomas (41'), Streete (60'), Paterson (61'), Jones (65'), Brown (95')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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