MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:18:41| >> :600:828469:828469:
Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
5 - 1
Liverpool U21s

Roberts (3'), Long (30', 43'), Cooney (51' pen.), Thibaut (74')
Connolly (10'), Breckin (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Corness (10' pen.)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Liverpool Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Liverpool U21s 1-2 Leicester U21s
Saturday, August 24 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.78%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawLiverpool Under-21s
31.61% (0.379 0.38) 21.53% (0.115 0.12) 46.85% (-0.49400000000001 -0.49)
Both teams to score 69.22% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.91% (-0.383 -0.38)30.09% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.7% (-0.463 -0.46)51.3% (0.464 0.46)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.01100000000001 0.01)19.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.303 -0.3)13.61% (0.304 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25% (-0.606 -0.61)40.75% (0.607 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 31.61%
    Liverpool Under-21s 46.85%
    Draw 21.53%
Crewe AlexandraDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.37% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 3.53% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.7% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 2.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.78% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.39% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 46.85%

rhs 2.0
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