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EFL Cup
Rotherham logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Rotherham
2 - 1
Crewe

Nombe (55'), Odofin (86')
Raggett (1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holicek (50')
Lunt (54')
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Rotherham United and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.86% (3.344 3.34) 23.87% (0.795 0.79) 46.28% (-4.132 -4.13)
Both teams to score 59.46% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.55% (-1.384 -1.38)42.45% (1.391 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (-1.395 -1.4)64.85% (1.403 1.4)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (1.627 1.63)26.99% (-1.621 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (2.08 2.08)62.34% (-2.073 -2.07)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (-2.106 -2.11)18.55% (2.114 2.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (-3.681 -3.68)49.8% (3.688 3.69)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 29.86%
    Crewe Alexandra 46.28%
    Draw 23.86%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.23% (0.586 0.59)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.672 0.67)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.612 0.61)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.385 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.157 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.87% (0.338 0.34)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.304 0.3)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.561 -0.56)
1-3 @ 5.23% (-0.548 -0.55)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.625 -0.63)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.28%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Crewe
1-2
Rotherham
Agyei (40')
Washington (1'), Kelly (39')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Crewe
0-2
Rotherham

Johnson (33'), Robertson (68'), Sass-Davies (78')
Robertson (73')
Smith (7'), Richards (74' og.)
Ihiekwe (25'), Wood (45+3')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 7pm
Third Round
Crewe
2-4
Rotherham
Mandron (11'), Robertson (71')
Ramsay (67')
Sadlier (41'), Smith (57'), Kayode (82'), Ladapo (90+4')
Harding (29')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Rotherham
1-1
Crewe
Rathbone (54')
Harding (74'), Smith (85')
Harding (90')
Porter (90+1' pen.)
Jaaskelainen (44')
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
First Round
Crewe
2-1
Rotherham
Walker (47'), Ainley (89')
Walker (72')
Vaulks (21')
Williams (59'), Cummings (63'), Moore (93')
rhs 2.0
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