Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Odd win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Odd win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Odd would win this match.